Jon W.

Analyst and researcher in the fields of disinformation, cognitive warfare, international relations, and social affective neuroscience

Scroll

About

Jon W.

I am currently a PhD student in a political science department focusing on the role that information plays in combat, and what emotions do to information. My research extends to political narratives, the use of cognitive warfare in small to large scale conflict, and capability revelation/deterrence.

I also have years of experience as an analyst covering China, Taiwan, emerging capabilities, disinformation, critical mineral mining and assets, and AI's role in hard power. I am currently the Associate Director of Taiwan Security Monitor, a research initiative that collects and analyzes data on security issues in the Taiwan Strait, as well as producing actionable insights for the United States Government and private firms in the form of wargames, prediction models, and more. Previously, I was a wargame designer for the Center for Security Policy Studies and an AI tech and policy fellow for the Center for Human-AI Innovation for Society.

Education

Ph.D., Politics University of Virginia · Expected 2028 · Subfields: IR & Research Methods
M.A., Foreign Affairs University of Virginia · 2026
M.A., International Security George Mason University · Awarded as top ranked graduate
B.A., Government & International Relations George Mason University

Things I Do

Taiwan Security Monitor

Associate Director

I joined what would become Taiwan Security Monitor as a Graduate Research Assistant when it was six undergraduates writing memos on current events. Within twelve months, we grew it into a multi-faceted open-source intelligence project with 14 researchers and began briefing the Department of Defense and the Intelligence Community on our geospatial and open-source analysis. I designed the training and onboarding pipeline, led efforts to secure funding from U.S. government agencies, defense contractors, and private firms, and managed the monetization of our public-facing platform.

Today, Taiwan Security Monitor has grown to over 25 researchers and analysts with more than 40,000 followers. I manage three teams of eight-plus analysts, and our work regularly contributes to intelligence efforts across the Intelligence Community and the Department of Defense. I developed an AI-driven early-warning detection system for military exercises and naval movements in the Indo-Pacific, and have designed multiple wargames used in conjunction with the U.S. Army War College and other defense stakeholders.

AI Tech & Policy Defense Fellow

May 2023 – April 2024

Center for Human-AI Innovation For Society

Inaugural fellow on a 3-year DoD Minerva grant to conduct research on AI technology and policy for national security. Attended seminars and week-long training in computer engineering, AI programming, and machine learning. Produced white papers, memos, and articles on algorithmic amplification and its implications for political conflict and information warfare.

Research Fellow & Wargame Designer

August 2022 – July 2024

Center for Security Policy Studies

Designed multiple wargames and simulations for the U.S. Government, spanning scenarios in Europe, Asia, and the Arctic. Led a team of 5 graduate students and 3 research fellows. Published for the center's blog, edited posts, and assisted in running annual symposiums on contemporary security challenges.

Research

Academic / Peer-Reviewed

2025

"From Operation Mincemeat to Social Media Deceit: Misinformation in Modern Warfare"

In: Global Security in the 21st Century, pp. 154–156. Center for Security Policy Studies.

Presentations

Conference Presentations

2026

"Shaping Minds, Shifting Power: China's Cognitive Warfare Strategy in the Indo-Pacific"

MPSA · Chicago, IL

2026

"Affective Intelligence and the Stickiness of Disinformation"

SPSA (New Orleans) · MPSA (Chicago)

2026

"Conceal or Reveal? Strategic Signaling in Military Technology"

SPSA · New Orleans, LA

2026

"AI, Cognitive Warfare, and Algorithmic Amplification in Political Conflict"

SPSA · New Orleans, LA

2026

"Power Competition and Shifting Norms in Global Governance"

SPSA · New Orleans, LA · Discussant

Invited Talks & Briefings

2025

"OSINT and Disinformation in the Modern Day"

Guest Lecture · University of Buffalo

2025

"Current Events in International Security"

Center for Security Policy Studies

2024

"Young Alumni Career Panel"

American Enterprise Institute

Working Projects

Secret Weapons

Strategic signaling decisions in military technology. Models when states choose to conceal or reveal weapons capabilities and the downstream effects on deterrence and adversary behavior.

Formal modelingHistorical casesSignaling theory

Affective Intelligence & Disinformation

Why disinformation "sticks." Investigates the role of emotional processing and affective intelligence in making false narratives resistant to correction.

Experimental designSurvey dataPsychology

AI Early Warning System

Machine learning model serving as an early-warning detection system for military exercises and naval movements in the Indo-Pacific, built on satellite imagery and OSINT data.

Machine learningSatellite imageryGeospatial data

Cognitive Warfare & Disinformation in the Indo-Pacific

Multiple projects examining how China employs cognitive warfare strategies, algorithmic amplification, and disinformation to shape perceptions and influence decision-making across the Indo-Pacific region.

Content analysisNetwork analysisCase studies

Economic Coercion & Resilience

Comparative analysis of how targeted states respond to economic coercion, examining the THAAD dispute and Australia's experience with Chinese trade measures.

Comparative case studyTrade dataProcess tracing

Teaching

2026

International Politics in the Nuclear Age

Graduate Teaching Assistant

2025

Military Force in International Relations

Graduate Teaching Assistant

2024

American Security Policy

Graduate Teaching Assistant

2023–24

International Security

Graduate Teaching Assistant

Volunteering

Peer Reviewer

Journal for Geoeconomics · Irregular Warfare Initiative

Continuous
🎓

Alumni Council Ambassador

International Security Alumni Council. Advising on planning, courseload, events, programs, and funding.

2025 – Present

Chapter Founder & President

Alexander Hamilton Society. Planned speaking events and fundraised.

2022 – 2024
🏊

Volunteer Swim Coach

Coached 500+ swimmers and organized practices, meets, and team events.

2022 – 2026